The Bravalanche

Bravalanche

A concept introduced on this blog that’s gained some traction in newpub is the neopatronage model. Though still developing, this is the proposition that societal changes will cause a shift away from the old entertainment business model. Instead of artists selling their rights to corporations in exchange for access to a vertically integrated distribution network, art will be funded by audiences directly. This arrangement will let artists keep creative control and a larger chunk of the profits while giving patrons the books, music, and movies they want instead of thinly veiled lectures.

It’s worth noting that I’ve put my mouth where my money is. I broke out as an author on Amazon, but as that outlet succumbed to cancel culture in fits and starts, I sought out a mid-term source of more stable income. That source turned out to be you, the readers. And we’ve done rather well getting the books we want funded. Not only have each of our crowdfunders beaten the standard oldpub advance, my Indiegogo proceeds have eclipsed my Amazon royalties. That is to say I’ve tested a nascent form of neopatronage myself, and it’s worked pretty well for everyone involved.

Now, even I thought that the tradeoff for neopatronage’s greater freedom and flexibility would be a leveling of the pay scale. Demolishing the walls around the gatekeepers’ plantations would remove the artificial bottleneck they maintained. That would mean more artists could earn a living, but there would be no more superstars.

Then along came A list fantasy author Brandon Sanderson to prove me right and wrong with a single masterstroke.

The lowdown is that Sanderson is offering four all-new novels through his personal publishing company. In an even bolder departure from how things are done in oldpub, he’s decided to crowdfund the books’ publication. This play isn’t quite as risky as it sounds, since his first Kickstarter raised over $6 million last year. He no doubt wagered he could replicate that success, so he bet everything on his readers.

To say that Sanderson’s gamble has paid off would be the understatement of the decade. We’re three days into his new campaign, and it’s already approaching $20 million.

Of course, the woke oldpub tokens whose bills Sanderson pays came out to cope, rationalize, and damn him with faint praise.

The reality that’s chipping away at the bubble Sanderson’s lesser rivals live in is that they are parasites dependent on him for their undeserved sinecures. Finding out that the make-believe world where you and your coreligionists hand each other awards exists at the pleasure of the guy you’ve been snubbing has got to inflict serious cognitive dissonance.

To illustrate the difference between Brandon Sanderson and the SFF death cultists, multiple Hugo Award winner John Scalzi made waves seven years ago when he signed a ten-year, 13-book contract with Tor Books for $3.4 million. Brandon Sanderson has earned more than five times Scalzi’s decade-long deal in three days.

Scalzi does make the point that other authors are not Brandon Sanderson and so cannot expect the same level of success. Of course, he’s right. I certainly haven’t approached Sanderson’s record-breaking haul. New authors just starting out are better advised to play the Powerball than aim to crowdfund twenty mil.

But that’s a red herring. Neopatronage needn’t give authors a guarantee of becoming millionaires to justify itself. It just needs to be more lucrative on average than oldpub.

The question every new author should ask is how long the newpub route would take to beat the boilerplate oldpub contract. In oldpub, a new author will give up all rights to his book in exchange for an average advance of $2,000. This is a loan recouped from royalties. New authors get a royalty rate of 15%. That means they do not see a dime of royalty earnings until 15% of book sales surpasses $2,000.

In contrast, crowdfunding platforms like Kickstarter usually take around a 10% cut of total funds raised. That means a new author need only raise $2,200 on Kickstarter to beat oldpub’s contract. From personal experience, I can tell you that goal is easily achievable with a modest-sized blog, newsletter, and social media following. More established newpub authors like Jon Del Arroz have raised many times that amount.

The oldpub model is obsolete. What Sanderson has done is prove that fact beyond a shadow of a doubt, while providing a proof of concept for the budding neopatronage system. Furthermore, he’s shown the latter model to be even more robust than expected, able even to support rock star-level artists. All in one fell swoop.

Years ago, I followed newpub pioneers like J.A. Konrath in predicting that one day, an A list author would hire a team, start his own publishing imprint, and go it alone. That author would erase the indie stigma, destroy oldpub’s prestige, and give newpub the social proof to reach its full potential. That day has come, and that author is Brandon Sanderson.

Just as we knew in our hearts it would be.

May the Bravalanche sweep away the decrepit New York publishing racket with all its perfumed princes and parasites.

 

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Nethereal - Brian Niemeier

16 Comments

  1. Paul

    This is so exciting! Newpub and other independent art industries will flourish with this neopatronage model.

  2. D Cal

    I’m of the opinion that cherished authors like you and Brandon could act as “soft” gatekeepers in a world that bypasses traditional publishing houses. A no-name author could prove his mettle by submitting short stories to the current generation of pulp magazines, and if you happen to notice that most of your favorite stories are written by an author who started a campaign to fund a full-length novel, you might consider giving him a signal boost on your blog.

    The two caveats?

    1. The ability hammer out short story after short story does not guarantee the ability to hammer out quality long-form fiction.

    2. Bribery still exists, and you should go out of your way to publically crucify any author who tries to bribe you or your contemporaries into giving him a signal boost.

    Point 2 has an additional caveat, however, because if you’re paid to edit someone’s work, then you’re probably being harder on his work that you would have been, which is great for consumers.

  3. Rudolph Harrier

    I started reading that first link (under “cope”) and thought “this author sounds like a whiner who would rather explain why he can’t succeed rather than putting out anything of value.” Then I scrolled back up to the author byline and all was explained.

  4. Xavier Basora

    Brian

    I tweeted this to some Catalan authours I’m acquainted and explained why this could be an alternative for established authours. Only 1 gave me a like.
    No matter. Once the Brandonova works its way through English language publishing, the significance will dawn on everyone else. And there’s going to be interest and copium from non English content creators.

    xavier

  5. Malchus

    There’s another upside to this. Tor owns some good IP, in addition to Sanderson (Wheel of Time, warts and all, comes to mind). Recently, I’ve been of the opinion that Sanderson and owning the WoT IP is what’s kept them afloat. Amazon has thoroughly wrecked WoT for the foreseeable future. If Sanderson stops providing them with new books, or worse, manages to wrangle the rights to his back catalog away from them, how long can they last? How long before you can get copies of their back catalog without giving money to people who hate you?

    • Andrew Phillips

      I read David Stewart’s review. I wasn’t interested, and couldn’t have watched it anyway, but from at least two reads of the whole series and his review, I’d say ‘wrecked’ is the word for it.

      I think they are inadvertently doing us a favor by giving all the things we grew up loving the fold, spindle, mutilate treatment. It’s easier to detach from a thing that has lost its luster. I suppose, on the other hand, it’s more virtuous to detach from a thing that hasn’t. On the gripping hand, if it takes watching a valued thing lose some value to show us we valued it too highly in the first place, that clarity is a mercy, too.

  6. The money pot is great and all, but the most impressive feat is that he churned out FOUR novels in addition to everything else he has been writing, all in such a short period of time.

  7. Hermetic Seal

    I’ve been a fan of Sanderson’s writing for over a decade now and I’m thrilled to see him finally busting out of the tradpub ghetto. Scalzi’s copetears are just the icing on the cake.

    Sanderson deserves every bit of success he gets, the guy is truly exceptional with his combination of storytelling talent, personal charm, and business intuition.

    • Brian

      All true, but to be honest, I’d put Sanderson on probation due to him injecting butt stuff into his last few books. This coup he’s pulled off definitely counts as good behavior. Let’s see if he can walk away from Tor and detonate the place behind him.

      • D Cal

        I’d recomend adding him to your Rosary intentions. If we sit back and leave Sanderson’s peferences to himself, rest assured that Satan will tempt him to use his newfound freedom to author trans butt stuff.

      • Hermetic Seal

        Interesting, I didn’t realize that – I don’t think I’ve actually read a new book of his for something like five years now. Mistborn is my favorite series of his, so I tend to pay less attention in between those releases.

  8. Man of the Atom

    The Seethe and Cope that Sanderson’s KS generated among the SFWA illiterati is solid 24K gold.

    • Watching them struggle not to trash their meal ticket might generate more entertainment value than his books.

      • Xavier Basora

        Brian

        And fail. Like the scorpion, the can’t change their nature. They’ll cope themselves to oblivion rather to galvanize and write frequently and better.

        xavier

  9. Good to see Sanderson doesn’t cotton to the general newpub antipathy toward hard copy, too. I mean, if a book is worth reading, it should be designed to last out the next obsolescence cycle.

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